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                <text>Economic Policy Review Volume 1</text>
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            <text>University of Cambridge Department of Applied Economics&#13;
Economic Policy Review&#13;
February 1975 No 1&#13;
&#13;
TABLE OF CONTENTS&#13;
&#13;
CHAPTER 1&#13;
CHAPTER2 CHAPTER3 CHAPTER4 CHAPTERS CHAPTER6 CHAPTER 7 tHAPTER8&#13;
&#13;
Review of Britain's Economic Prospects&#13;
1. Summary of main conclusions 2. The present position and how we got here 3. Analysis of future prospects 4. A target for the Balance of Payments 5. Implications for fiscal policy 6. Competitiveness: the main policy problem 7. Availability of resources and claims on them 8. Inflation&#13;
The outlook for prices during 1975&#13;
The outlook for wages in the short run&#13;
An economic assessment of the North Sea&#13;
Finance for the Balance of Payments&#13;
Public spending and taxation ..&#13;
Profits and Stock Appreciation&#13;
Statistical Appendix&#13;
&#13;
3&#13;
15 26 29 40 46 57 62&#13;
&#13;
Note on value and volume figures&#13;
Conventional national income accounts present figures on volumes of expenditure, income and output at constant prices of a base year (1970 in the current Blue Book). Value figures are expressed at current prices.&#13;
In this study figures are presented on four alternative bases:&#13;
(i) volumes at constant prices - denoted (£ million, 1970 prices)&#13;
(ii) values at current prices - denoted (£ million) (iii) values adjusted for inflation (for use in the analysis&#13;
of real national income) - denoted (£ million, 1974 values) (iv) values adjusted for inflation (for use in analysis of the balance of payments) - denoted (£ million, 1974 export values). Volume figures may be converted to current price values by multiplying by the appropriate price deflator (base 1970=1.000). Values adjusted for inflation are obtained by dividing the current price figure by the deflator for domestic expenditure or the deflator for exports of goods and services, and multipying by the value of the same deflator in 1974.&#13;
&#13;
Thus, for example, defining the following symbols :&#13;
M Volume of imports(£ million, 1970 prices) M' Value of imports(£ million, current prices) PM Deflator for imports (1970=1.000) PDE Deflator for domestic expenditure (1970=1.000) PX Deflator for exports of goods and services&#13;
(1970=1.000) Then M'=M.PM Imports at 1974 values (for real national income purposes) are given by&#13;
1 . PDE 74&#13;
PDE&#13;
where PDE74 is the value of PDE in 1974.&#13;
Imports at 1974 export values (for balance of payments purposes) are given by&#13;
M'. PX 74 PX&#13;
where Px74 is the value of PX in 1974.&#13;
&#13;
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